Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.017720 0.019505 0.021303 0.023245 0.025281 0.027347 0.029599
2025-06-29 0.013981 0.016714 0.019584 0.022801 0.026288 0.029934 0.034017
2025-07-06 0.011166 0.014345 0.017802 0.021794 0.026231 0.030972 0.036383
2025-07-13 0.009828 0.013393 0.017381 0.022090 0.027421 0.033205 0.039892
2025-07-20 0.008559 0.012371 0.016754 0.022036 0.028118 0.034806 0.042626
2025-07-27 0.007436 0.011409 0.016099 0.021865 0.028608 0.036112 0.044973
2025-08-03 0.006796 0.010971 0.016011 0.022306 0.029757 0.038126 0.048084
2025-08-10 0.005989 0.010248 0.015522 0.022223 0.030257 0.039369 0.050294
2025-08-17 0.005230 0.009522 0.014976 0.022028 0.030589 0.040387 0.052221
2025-08-24 0.004645 0.008978 0.014621 0.022032 0.031128 0.041625 0.054380
2025-08-31 0.004058 0.008379 0.014155 0.021867 0.031440 0.042575 0.056191
2025-09-07 0.003579 0.007891 0.013804 0.021819 0.031872 0.043652 0.058134
2025-09-14 0.003000 0.007224 0.013211 0.021484 0.031992 0.044413 0.059783
2025-09-21 0.002449 0.006542 0.012566 0.021063 0.032000 0.045046 0.061298
2025-09-28 0.001823 0.005639 0.011547 0.020100 0.031290 0.044785 0.061731
2025-10-05 0.001600 0.005407 0.011473 0.020382 0.032142 0.046404 0.064386
2025-10-12 0.001326 0.005035 0.011166 0.020331 0.032553 0.047476 0.066383
2025-10-19 0.001064 0.004639 0.010794 0.020168 0.032805 0.048342 0.068123
2025-10-26 0.000946 0.004523 0.010846 0.020589 0.033811 0.050134 0.070975
2025-11-02 0.000755 0.004203 0.010554 0.020510 0.034153 0.051097 0.072822
2025-11-09 0.000576 0.003860 0.010199 0.020324 0.034340 0.051858 0.074418
2025-11-16 0.000450 0.003612 0.009984 0.020327 0.034770 0.052917 0.076370
2025-11-23 0.000326 0.003320 0.009669 0.020169 0.034975 0.053686 0.077964